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Welcome To The Exciting World Of TheSportsConsensus.com®

Super Bowl LV Betting Preview

 

Super Bowl LV is almost here, with the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs looking to repeat against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the first team to ever play a Super Bowl in their own stadium.

Patrick Mahomes vs. Tom Brady. The top-seeded Chiefs vs. the Wild Card Buccaneers. It all goes down on Sunday at 6:30 pm EST.

CUSTOMIZE YOUR BETTING DASHBOARD AT HRWAGER.AG

The Chiefs are currently 3.5-point favorites, with an over/under set at 56.5 points. Before gametime, be sure to take a look at NFL first and second half lines. Let's take a deeper look at the matchup and trends in advance of the big game.

Rematch of Week 12

The Buccaneers hosted the Chiefs back in Week 12, a game that ended in a 27-24 win for Kansas City that wasn't nearly as close as the score suggests.

Wide receiver Tyreek Hill was the star of the day, catching 13 passes for 269 yards and three scores, most of which came in just the first quarter.

It was 27-10 going into the fourth quarter, at which point the Chiefs coasted to victory, allowing Tampa Bay to score a pair of touchdowns late.

Since this game, the Tampa Bay defense, particularly its secondary, has solidified. The Buccaneers will do what they can to avoid a repeat of Hill's performance.

We went 1-1 on our last pick, it was a Sugar Bowl betting pick when Clemson destroyed Ohio State!

Betting Trends for Both Teams

The Chiefs' win over the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game was the first game they covered against the spread since Nov. 1. On the year, Kansas City is 8-10 ATS, and the overs are 9-9.

Tampa Bay is 11-8 ATS this season, with an identical 11-8 record for the overs.

Related Link > Betting Super Bowl LV Props

Team Strengths and Weaknesses

It's no secret that Kansas City's strength is the passing game, led by Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and Hill. With a fine, if not unspectacular, running game going against Tampa Bay's top rush defense, expect to see the Chiefs pass early and often.

Head coach Andy Reid has shown aggressiveness and creativity in his play-calling, and it will be on the Buccaneers secondary to slow down the Chiefs offense.

Tampa Bay's strength is likely its well-rounded attack. With a top 10 offense in both passing and rushing, and a top 10 defense in both as well, the Buccaneers offer more balance than Kansas City does. The Tampa Bay offense should have its opportunities against a middling Chiefs defense.

EDITORíS CHOICE > A LOOK AT NBA BETTING STATS THIS SEASON

Game Pick

Playing at home with a well-rounded team, I'm picking Tampa Bay to cover the 3.5-point spread. The storyline of Brady bringing another team a Super Bowl, while interesting, isn't why Tampa Bay is my choice.

The fact the Buccaneers are playing in their home stadium, with fans, cannot be understated. This is the first time we've ever had a team play at home for the Super Bowl.

History is also on Tampa Bay's side. Since 2000, only four Wild Card teams have made the Super Bowl, with all four winning. Something about a team playing three games on the road brings them together. That's why Tampa Bay's moneyline, set at +150, has such strong value.

Super Bowl LV should be an instant classic. A Chiefs repeat would be the first since the 2004 Patriots. Mahomes taking down Brady would officially pass the torch and give the star quarterback a chance at surpassing Brady's six rings.





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