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Welcome To The Exciting World Of TheSportsConsensus.com®

Why Bet College Football Underdogs

You should bet on college football underdogs this season.

Key Points

– Bettors can find great value in betting college football underdogs this season.

– There are a number of strategies to use when betting college football underdogs this season.

Why Bet College Football Underdogs

Even though it seems more attractive to wager on the favorite, understanding when it is wiser to support the underdog is an essential aspect of sports betting.

A wager on the underdog is one that the sportsbook believes has a lower chance of winning. The most crucial thing to realize is that the payouts are far higher than when betting on the underdog because they are less likely to win.

So, should you place a wager on college football underdogs this season? Without a doubt, yes, but only under certain circumstances.

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Pros & Cons of Betting on College Football Underdogs

You can break it down like this. The biggest benefit of betting on CFB underdogs are the payouts. Underdogs are typically listed at plus-money odds. A bettor wagers $100 on a +250 underdog and wins $250.

A college football bettor who wagers on underdogs can lose more bets than he wins but can still turn a profit. Each and every week, bettors can find underdog odds that offer value.

On the other hand, there are some drawbacks. Betting against the favorite means a bettor will lose more bets than he wins. Plus, more research is needed to find the best underdogs each week. Bettors can’t pick underdogs blindly.

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When to Back the Little Guy

Betting on college football underdogs this season is something you should be doing. It’s really quite simple to figure out when to bet against the favorite. You just have to understand some simple math.

You need to understand probability and implied odds. The listed odds not only indicate how much your bet will pay out, but also how likely the football sportsbook believes the underdog is to win. The odds indicate the implied probability of a team winning.

Bettors can find free sports betting calculators to help them with implied probability. Let’s use the following example. A college football underdog is given odds of +150. Using a betting calculator, we find the implied odds of that team winning are around 40 percent.

If a bettor believes the underdog’s chances of winning are higher than 40 percent, then he pulls the trigger on the bet. A successful long-term strategy of betting on CFB underdogs involves betting when you believe the real chance of winning is higher than the implied chance of winning.

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Strategies for Betting Against the Favorite

There are some different methods to make money betting on the college football underdog. Use these tips to guide your betting strategy.

       Maintain calm and wait for the lines to move. When betting on the underdog, it's important to be mindful that odds might change as the game draws near and more people place bets. Even if you believe betting on the underdog is the wise move, it may be worthwhile to hold out and see if their odds change. This is especially true when an underdog goes up against a favorite who is widely expected to win. Remember, the public enjoys betting on the favorite. Wait until you can acquire the greatest price before placing a bet on the underdog.

       Avoid falling for the hype. Underdogs can easily slip under the radar. People are much more inclined to pay attention to winning teams and well-known players given how the sports media industry operates. Examine the odds for a team or player whose opponents you suspect the media is overhyping. It's likely that the underdog will be provided at a very advantageous price.

       Do the research. No matter who you're betting on, don't overlook the fundamentals. There are countless elements that can affect an underdog's chances of succeeding. You'll be able to make better decisions the more research you conduct. Be knowledgeable on the rivalry between the two teams, the major players, and less obvious elements like the venue, the climate, the opponents' travel plans, and more.

       Shop for the best odds. The only thing better than finding a strong underdog at +185 is finding the same bet at another online sportsbook for +225. Shop around.

Road Dogs

Your bankroll is unlikely to increase significantly if you consistently wager on favorites. To break even, you need to win more than 52% of the time (with -110 odds). This is why it might be profitable to occasionally wager on strong college football underdogs.

There are some circumstances where it makes a lot of sense to bet on CFB underdogs. The short road underdog is one of those circumstances. Short refers to an underdog who is getting four points (+4) or less.

We already know that the betting public favors home teams. When you combine the two—home favorites—the betting public follows. When laying four points or less, sportsbooks are essentially saying the game should be close. With everything else adding up, betting a road underdog in this situation can be advantageous.

Don’t forget about underdogs when betting Heisman Trophy futures.

In actuality, road underdogs only manage to defeat home favorites slightly more than 47% of the time. Road dogs are 532-598 (47.1%) since 2005. Yes, that is a losing record, but a moneyline bettor would actually be up more than 80 units because of the plus-money odds.

More Shocking Info

Even more shocking is the fact that road underdogs win against the spread more frequently. Road underdogs are 600-508 ATS (54.2%) since 2005. This is definitely a strategy worth considering when betting on college football.

Bettors can break it down even further and add in games with low totals. It’s more of a challenge for a favorite to cover when the expected point total is 50 or below. Since 2005, road underdogs have gone 1062-933 ATS (53.2%) in games with a total of 50 or fewer. The ATS winning percentage rises to 54.6% if the total is 45 or less.

The ATS winning percentage increases to 55.9% when a road underdog with a total of 45 or less is playing a conference foe. That makes road underdogs playing conference opponents in low total games something bettors should consider.

Betting on college football underdogs is something bettors should expect in the 2022 college football season.





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